Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 165.934458 193.076186 224.795293 264.993490 315.144099 376.410744 4.581207e+02
2025-06-01 128.420300 161.351531 204.078259 264.997749 352.087676 476.227207 6.747933e+02
2025-06-08 106.390113 140.386950 187.612439 260.592460 375.662788 560.197404 9.030270e+02
2025-06-15 95.798800 131.701462 184.556790 272.239388 423.490870 695.241365 1.284450e+03
2025-06-22 82.378319 116.324813 168.258867 258.668872 424.791149 749.195486 1.542547e+03
2025-06-29 74.300240 107.608266 160.472258 256.936522 445.773848 847.927900 1.970614e+03
2025-07-06 67.975972 100.665969 154.270014 256.347667 468.303197 959.061577 2.527735e+03
2025-07-13 65.417443 99.373717 157.191222 272.968293 531.160107 1195.469417 3.745226e+03
2025-07-20 63.755611 99.289414 162.088289 294.396525 612.262735 1530.035698 5.911127e+03
2025-07-27 59.854799 94.838831 158.300629 296.949487 648.769240 1758.446322 8.115018e+03
2025-08-03 57.020801 91.942687 157.001325 304.594453 701.510930 2081.879398 1.193068e+04
2025-08-10 53.577233 87.568290 152.221707 303.334429 729.281594 2337.405697 1.637951e+04
2025-08-17 50.590708 84.058240 149.353101 307.716683 781.554013 2775.538884 2.619461e+04
2025-08-24 47.405517 79.897023 144.709005 307.143377 820.235837 3213.847457 4.193655e+04
2025-08-31 44.201761 75.369945 138.685500 301.763433 841.196393 3598.369983 6.526495e+04
2025-09-07 42.814426 74.257366 139.867138 315.891752 940.742744 4640.415316 1.600636e+05
2025-09-14 39.421480 68.803693 130.727203 299.430425 914.743794 4779.182843 2.248283e+05
2025-09-21 37.325530 65.813737 126.836039 297.332780 947.982838 5472.445263 4.872250e+05
2025-09-28 35.514175 63.251302 123.625847 296.619953 987.952077 6345.762425 1.377458e+06
2025-10-05 35.060241 63.475618 126.981953 316.777159 1137.666300 8894.040992 4.113283e+07
2025-10-12 34.866437 64.228080 131.722255 342.876336 1341.141642 13385.766188 NaN
2025-10-19 33.526710 62.362480 129.708478 345.993914 1423.675285 16634.293337 NaN
2025-10-26 32.562876 61.245077 129.465292 355.339762 1553.514283 22230.923836 NaN